Plan Commission Meeting — Agenda packet

Town of Oregon Plan Commission Agenda Tuesday, October 21st, 2025, 6:30pm Oregon Town Hall, 1138 Union Road, Oregon, WI 53575 The Plan Commission will meet at 1138 Union Rd, Oregon, WI. The meeting will also be accessible remotely. Join Zoom Meeting https://us02web.zoom.us/j/7920614075?pwd=WnU1QzE0QWVkYThWNk54d3ZEeUxQZz09&omn=8 9265513563 To Call In: 1-312-626-6799 Meeting ID: 792 061 4075 Passcode: 1138 1. Call the Plan Commission Meeting to order. 2. Roll Call. 3. Approval of June 17th, 2025, meeting minutes. 4. Public Comment. 5. Appointment of Laura Wilmont for term ending in 2027. 6. Review Draft Conditional Use Permit (CUP) Policy amendments to Comprehensive Plan. 7. Communications. 8. Town Board Items: (Arlan Kay). 9. Adjournment. Posted 10/15/2025. Note: Agendas are subject to amendment after publication. Check the official posting locations (Town Hall), including the Town website at https://townoforegonwi.gov/. It is possible that members of and a quorum of members of other governmental bodies of the town may attend any of the meetings to gather information; however, no action will be taken by any governmental body at said meeting other than the governmental body specifically referred to in the meeting notice. Requests from persons with disabilities who need assistance to participate in this meeting or hearing should be made to the Clerk’s office at 835-3200 with 48 hours' notice. Town of Oregon Plan Commission Meeting Minutes Tuesday, June 17th, 2025 Chair Yanacheck opened the June 17th, 2025, Plan Commission Meeting at 6:30 p.m. Roll Call Present: Sharon Christensen, Tim Yanacheck, Gena Larson, Jessica Barmack, Dave Hageman, Arlan Kay. Also Present: Treasurer/Deputy Clerk Stephanie Goth and Town Board Chair Carl Walser. Approval of Minutes Moved by Soule, seconded by S. Christensen, to approve May 20th, 2025, minutes. Motion carried 7-0. Update re: Conditional Use Permit Request (CUP) Petition DCPUP-2025-02662 Parcel# 0509-053-8001-2 1451 Storytown Rd. Oregon, WI 53575. This request is to obtain a Conditional Use Permit for Large Animal (Horse) Boarding. Goth stated the applicant withdrew their petition before it made it to the Town Board. There was no indication that the Plan Commissions actions on the petition had anything to do with the applicant withdrawal. Review Town Guidance information on the CUP process. Goth reviewed the documents provided by Dane County, highlighting that the Town is no longer responsible for the Class II notice, public hearing, and that the application they will review is the Dane County application, she noted that the Plan Commission has been reviewing only the Dane County application form already because it’s more organized and clearer than the Town’s application. Goth also noted that Dane County recommends that Townships adopt a policy outlining their CUP process to ensure consistency across applications. Discussion ensued regarding where the Class II notice is published, the current process and next steps. Public Comment. No public comment. Communications. July Plan Commission/Visioning meeting is cancelled for lack of participants. Town Board Items Kay spoke about land that the Township owns that is going to be inventoried to discuss if there is any future use, sale, or maintenance needed. Board Chair Walser updated the Plan Commission on the status of the Vision Survey results and report. Celebrate Chair Yanacheck’s retirement from the Plan Commission. Thank you, Tim, for your many years of devoted service. Adjournment. Moved by S. Christensen, seconded by Hagemann, to adjourn. Motion Carried 7-0. Draft Oregon Conditional Use Permit Procedures 1 Conditional Use Permits The Town will review conditional uses in each district to determine if all provisions of the Comprehensive Plan and the Future Land Use Map are addressed and met including, but not limited to consideration of the following factors: a. Consistency with the Town Comprehensive Plan b. Whether the use is complementary with adjoining properties. c. Compatibility with existing or permitted use on adjacent lands. d. Impacts of noise, dust, lights, odor, contamination, parking, traffic, and other changes related to the use on public safety and rural character of the Town. e. The agricultural productivity and/or history of agricultural production of the lands involved. f. The location of the proposed use so as to minimize the amount of productive agricultural land converted. g. The need for public services created by the proposed use. h. The availability of adequate public services and the ability of affected local units of government to provide them without an unreasonable burden. i. The effect of the proposed use on water or air pollution, soil erosion and rare or irreplaceable natural resources. The Town has reviewed the conditional uses listed in the Dane County zoning ordinance in light of the goals, objectives, and policies found in this plan. The conditional uses listed below represent those that, based upon their nature and well-known or anticipated impacts, the Town believes could be reasonably consistent with this plan. All applications will be evaluated to determine compliance with the standards detailed in section 10.101(7)(d) of the Dane County Zoning Ordinance. NR-C Natural Resource Conservation Zoning District • Establishment and development of public parks, private parks, recreational areas, boat access sites, outdoor education areas, historic areas, wildlife refuges, game preserves, and private wildlife habitat areas • Soil conservation, shoreland, wetland and ecological restoration practices not listed as a permitted use • Construction and maintenance of roads, railroads, or utilities which cannot practically be located outside of the NR-C district RE Recreational Zoning District • Campgrounds • Caretaker’s residence FP-1 Small-lot Farmland Preservation Zoning District • Agricultural accessory use o Agricultural entertainment o Limited farm business o Farm related exhibitions, sales, or events not exceeding 10 days/year o Sale of agricultural and dairy products not produced on the premises o Incidental sale of non-alcoholic beverages and snacks o Sanitary facilities in an agricultural accessory building Draft Oregon Conditional Use Permit Procedures 2 • Transportation, communication, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses not required by law FP-35 General Farmland Preservation Zoning District The Department of Agriculture, Trade and Consumer Protection must be notified prior to the approval of any conditional use permit in this district. • Agricultural accessory uses: o Agricultural entertainment, over 10 days/year o Farm related exhibitions, sales or events, over 10 days/year o Farm Residence, subject to 10.103(11) o Attached accessory dwelling units associated with a farm residence o Limited Farm Business, subject to 10.103(13) o Sale of agricultural and dairy products not produced on the premise o Incidental sale of non-alcoholic beverages and snacks o Secondary farm residence (according to 2.2(3), a secondary farm residence is only permissible if it complies with the Town’s land division allocation policy). • Transportation, communication, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses not required by law • Non-metallic mineral extraction FP-B Farmland Preservation – Business • Agricultural accessory uses: o Agricultural entertainment, over 10 days/year o Farm related exhibitions, sales or events, over 10 days/year o Farm Residence, subject to 10.103(11) o Attached accessory dwelling units associated with a farm residence (if the property is 2 acres or greater in size) o Limited Farm Business, subject to 10.103(13) o Sale of agricultural and dairy products not produced on the premise o Incidental sale of non-alcoholic beverages and snacks • Agricultural accessory uses: o Commercial animal boarding for farm animals, and not including domestic pets • Transportation, communication, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses not required by law • Non-metallic mineral extraction AT-35 Agriculture Transition, 35 acres Zoning District • Agricultural accessory uses: o Agricultural entertainment, over 10 days/year o Attached accessory dwelling units associated with a farm residence o Farm related exhibitions, sales or events, over 10 days/year o Farm Residence, subject to 10.103(11) o Limited Farm Business, subject to 10.103(13) o Sale of agricultural and dairy products not produced on the premise and incidental sale of non- alcoholic beverages and snacks • Transportation, communication, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses not required by law Draft Oregon Conditional Use Permit Procedures 3 • Non-metallic mineral extraction RM-8 Rural Mixed-Use, 8-16 acres Zoning District • Agricultural entertainment activities occurring 10 days/year or more • Attached accessory dwelling units • Farm related exhibitions, sales or events exceeding 5 days a year • Governmental, institutional, religious, or nonprofit community uses • Large animal boarding • Limited family business • Property maintenance sheds (600 sq. ft. or less) • Sanitary facilities in agricultural accessory buildings • Tourist or transient lodging • Transportation, communications, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses, not required by law RM-16 Rural Mixed-Use, 16-35 acres Zoning District • Agricultural entertainment activities occurring over 10 days/year • Attached accessory dwelling units • Farm related exhibitions, sales or events exceeding 5 days a year • Governmental, institutional, religious, or nonprofit community uses • Large animal boarding • Limited family business • Mineral extraction • Sanitary facilities in agricultural accessory buildings • Tourist or transient lodging • Transportation, communications, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses, not required by law RR-1 Rural Residential, 1 to 2 acres Zoning District • Limited family business • Day Care Centers • Governmental or religious uses • Transient or Tourist Lodging • Transportation, communication, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses, not listed as a permitted use RR-2 Rural Residential, 2 to 4 acres Zoning District • Animal use exceeding one animal unit per acre • Limited family business • Attached accessory dwelling units • Day Care Centers • Governmental, institutional, religious, or nonprofit community uses • Transient or Tourist Lodging • Transportation, communication, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses, not listed as a permitted use Draft Oregon Conditional Use Permit Procedures 4 RR-4 Rural Residential, 4 to 8 acres Zoning District • Attached accessory dwelling units • Animal use exceeding one animal unit per acre • Limited family business • Day Care Centers • Governmental, institutional, religious, or nonprofit community uses • Transient or Tourist Lodging • Transportation, communication, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses, not listed as a permitted use RR-8 Rural Residential, 8 to 16 acres Zoning District • Attached accessory dwelling units • Animal use exceeding one animal unit per acre • Limited family business • Day Care Centers • Governmental, institutional, religious, or nonprofit community uses • Property management sheds • Transient or Tourist Lodging • Transportation, communication, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses, not listed as a permitted use RR-16 Rural Residential, 16 to 35 acres Zoning District • Attached accessory dwelling units • Animal use exceeding one animal unit per acre • Limited family business • Day Care Centers • Governmental, institutional, religious, or nonprofit community uses • Property management sheds • Transient or Tourist Lodging • Transportation, communication, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses, not listed as a permitted use SFR-08 Single-Family Residential, small lots Zoning District • Governmental uses • Religious uses Draft Oregon Conditional Use Permit Procedures 5 • Transportation, utility, communications, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses SFR-1 Single-Family Residential, 1 to 2 acres Zoning District • Governmental uses • Religious uses • Transient or tourist lodging • Transportation, utility, communications, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses SFR-2 Single-Family Residential, 2 to 4 acres Zoning District • Attached accessory dwelling units • Day care centers • Governmental uses • Institutional uses • Religious uses • Nonprofit community uses • Transient or tourist lodging • Transportation, utility, communications, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses TFR-08 Two-Family Residential Zoning District • Governmental uses • Religious uses • Transportation, utility, communications, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses MFR-08 Multi-Family Residential Zoning District • Governmental uses • Religious uses • Transportation, utility, communications, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses LC Limited Commercial Zoning District • Contractor, landscaping or building trade operations • Incidental parking for employees • Indoor storage and repair • Incidental indoor maintenance • Utility services associated with a permitted use • Undeveloped natural resource and open space areas • Agricultural and agricultural accessory uses (livestock not permitted) • Transportation, utility or communication use required by law GC General Commercial Zoning District • Contractor, landscaping or building trades operation • Communication towers Draft Oregon Conditional Use Permit Procedures 6 • Transportation, communication, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses not required by law HC Heavy Commercial Zoning District • Communication towers • Transportation, communication, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses not required by law RI Rural Industry Zoning District • Communication towers • Mineral extraction operations • Transportation, communications, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses, not required by law MI Manufacturing and Industrial Zoning District • Communication towers • Mineral extraction operations • Transportation, communications, pipeline, electric transmission, utility, or drainage uses, not required by law UTR Utility, Transportation and Right-of-Way Zoning District • Transportation, utility, communication or other similar uses, not required by law • Storage structures, not to exceed 250 square feet Draft Oregon Conditional Use Permit Procedures 7 Conditional Use Permit Conditions The following conditions may be required for any Conditional Use Permit approval based on the intensity of the proposed use. Any, or all of these conditions may be considered by the Town. This list is not exhaustive and additional conditions may be placed on any Conditional Use Permit. Additionally, conditions for Conditional Use Permits within 500 feet of a neighboring residence may be applied to Conditional Use Permits that are more than 500 feet from a neighboring residence. Conditional Use Permit limited to Indoors Conditional Use Permit Includes Outdoor Use Within 500 feet of a neighboring residence More than 500 feet from a neighboring residence Within 500 feet of a neighboring residence More than 500 feet from a neighboring residence Hours of Operation for non- agricultural entertainment CUPs 7 am to 7 pm 6 am to 10 pm Outdoor use limited to 8 am to 7 pm 6 am to 10 pm Hours of Operation for agricultural entertainment CUPs 7 am to 9 pm, or dusk, whichever is later 6 am to 10 pm Outdoor use limited to 7 am to 9 pm, or dusk, whichever is later 6 am to 10 pm Number of Employees Shall not exceed 3 full, or part time, employees Shall not exceed 6 full, or part time, employees Shall not exceed 3 full, or part time, employees Shall not exceed 6 full, or part time, employees Outdoor lighting External lighting shall be restricted to safety lights at the entrance and exits of buildings. Lighting must be dark skies compliant and no light shall spill over neighboring property line. Lighting must be dark skies compliant and no light shall spill over neighboring property line. External lighting shall be restricted to safety lights at the entrance and exits of buildings. Lighting must be dark skies compliant and no light shall spill over neighboring property line. Lighting must be dark skies compliant and no light shall spill over neighboring property line. Noise Limited to 60 dBA measured at the property line. For a period of a total of 10 minutes per day, decibel levels may reach 100 dBA between 9 am to 5 pm. Outdoor loudspeakers or radios are prohibited. Limited to 60 dBA measured at the property line. For a period of a total of 10 minutes per day, decibel levels may reach 100 dBA between 9 am to 5 pm. Outdoor loudspeakers are prohibited. Between 7 pm and 7 am, limited to 40 dBA measured at the property line. Between 7 am and 7 pm, limited to 60 dBA measured at the property line. For a period of a total of 10 minutes per day, decibel levels may reach 100 dBA between 9 Between 7 pm and 7 am, limited to 40 dBA measured at the property line. Between 7 am and 7 pm, limited to 60 dBA measured at the property line. For a period of a total of 10 minutes per day, decibel levels may reach 100 dBA between 9 Draft Oregon Conditional Use Permit Procedures 8 am to 5 pm. am to 5 pm. Outdoor loudspeakers or radios are prohibited. Outdoor loudspeakers are prohibited. Trash removal Applicant shall be responsible for contracting with a trash and recycling removal company if trash and recycling exceeds what is allowed for collection that is provided by the Town of Dunn. Applicant shall be responsible for contracting with a trash and recycling removal company if trash and recycling exceeds what is allowed for collection that is provided by the Town of Dunn. Applicant shall be responsible for contracting with a trash and recycling removal company if trash and recycling exceeds what is allowed for collection that is provided by the Town of Dunn. Applicant shall be responsible for contracting with a trash and recycling removal company if trash and recycling exceeds what is allowed for collection that is provided by the Town of Dunn. Parking No parking or storage of vehicles is permitted within the street right-of- way. No parking or storage of vehicles is permitted within the street right-of- way. No parking or storage of vehicles is permitted within the street right-of- way. No parking or storage of vehicles is permitted within the street right-of- way. Number of events Number of events may be restricted based on anticipated traffic, noise, intensity of events, impact on neighboring properties, and impact on municipal infrastructure and services. Number of events may be restricted based on anticipated traffic, noise, intensity of events, impact on neighboring properties, and impact on municipal infrastructure and services. Number of events may be restricted based on anticipated traffic, noise, intensity of events, impact on neighboring properties, and impact on municipal infrastructure and services. Number of events may be restricted based on anticipated traffic, noise, intensity of events, impact on neighboring properties, and impact on municipal infrastructure and services. Signs Limited to one sign on a building and signs shall not be illuminated Limited to one sign on a building and signs shall not be illuminated Limited to one sign on a building and signs shall not be illuminated Limited to one sign on a building and signs shall not be illuminated Draft Oregon Conditional Use Permit Procedures 9 Visual Screening N/A N/A Visual landscaping barriers to block views between the use and the neighboring residence may be required. Visual landscaping barriers to block views between the use and the neighboring residence may be required. Stormwater management All stormwater resulting from the Conditional Use Permit must be managed on site. Rain gardens may be required. All stormwater resulting from the Conditional Use Permit must be managed on site. Rain gardens may be required. All stormwater resulting from the Conditional Use Permit must be managed on site. Rain gardens may be required. All stormwater resulting from the Conditional Use Permit must be managed on site. Rain gardens may be required. Business activities Materials and inventory must be stored indoors. Business-related activities must be conducted indoors, Materials and inventory may be stored outdoors, if not visible from the road or neighboring property lines. Materials and inventory must be stored indoors. Business-related activities must be conducted indoors, Materials and inventory may be stored outdoors, if not visible from the road or neighboring property lines. with the exception of one outdoor play area for day cares with the exception of one outdoor play area for day cares Dust Gravel or dirt roads must be wetted prior to vehicles traveling over the road. Gravel and dirt will be required to be removed from public roads. Gravel or dirt roads must be wetted prior to vehicles traveling over the road. Gravel and dirt will be required to be removed from public roads. Gravel or dirt roads must be wetted prior to vehicles traveling over the road. Gravel and dirt will be required to be removed from public roads. Gravel or dirt roads must be wetted prior to vehicles traveling over the road. Gravel and dirt will be required to be removed from public roads. Odors Odor abatement measures may be required as a condition of the Conditional Use Permit. Such measures may restrict the time, day, or season of the odor producing use. The odor producing use may be restricted to specific locations on the property. Odor abatement measures may be required as a condition of the Conditional Use Permit. Such measures may restrict the time, day, or season of the odor producing use. The odor producing use may be restricted to specific locations on the property. Odor abatement measures may be required as a condition of the Conditional Use Permit. Such measures may restrict the time, day, or season of the odor producing use. The odor producing use may be restricted to specific locations on the property. Odor abatement measures may be required as a condition of the Conditional Use Permit. Such measures may restrict the time, day, or season of the odor producing use. The odor producing use may be restricted to specific locations on the property. FACT SHEET - Dane County Population Projections 2020-2050 August 2025 BACKGROUND The Wisconsin Department of Administration (DOA) prepares population projections for every jurisdiction in the state, typically every 5 years. These projections are used by municipalities, utilities, employers, state agencies and others throughout the state to plan for the future. The projections inform land use and infrastructure planning, business investment, and efforts to preserve farmland and natural resources. Fueled by unique local assets, Dane County has experienced strong population growth for over 100 years. The rate of growth slowed after 1970 but has been consistently higher than DOA’s projections (see graph on next page). In response, some local entities develop their own projections to more accurately anticipate their needs. The result is a patchwork of differing projections about our future growth. A “Regional Data Group” (RDG) of local planning and demography specialists gathered in 2024 and 2025 to research trends in population, housing, and jobs in the county.1 The objectives of this work are 1) to establish a set of accurate population projections to inform local planning processes and 2) to encourage use of these projections for local planning. The RDG intends to review and update these projections every five years. POPULATION PROJECTION AND METHOD The Regional Data Group estimates the Dane County 2050 population at 887,000 residents. This is about 325,000 more residents than the 2020 Census count of 561,504 (a 58% increase). This represents 160,000 new housing units, not including the additional units needed to correct for past underproduction, restore healthy vacancy rates and reduce pressure on home prices.2 The analysis considered: • DOA projections assume a statewide decline in population, beginning this decade, due to dropping birth rates and modest in-migration. • DOA’s projections show growth continuing in Dane County through 2050, averaging 11.5% growth per decade. The rate of growth has only been that low in two decades during the past 125 years: 1900-1910 and 1970-1980. In all other decades the growth rate ranged from 13.5% to 31.1%. • Data on Dane County’s population, housing, and jobs over the past 40 years show exponential growth curves rather than straight-line trends. Jobs have grown faster than population, with more workers living outside Dane County. Households have increased faster than housing units, resulting in lower vacancy rates. 887,000 is the median value among separate projections based on trends in population, housing, and jobs. If we see this number of people in 2050 our growth rate will have averaged 16.5% per decade, 2020-2050. • The Growth Factors described at right and a shift in local housing development policies due to the housing shortage are expected to sustain growth through 2050. 1 The Regional Development Group (RDG) includes the Capital Area Regional Planning Commission (CARPC), the Greater Madison Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO), Dane County Planning, the City of Madison, and the UW-Madison Department of Planning and Landscape Architecture. 2 2010 to 2020, Dane County produced 8,000 fewer units than the number of new households, significantly reducing vacancy rates, Regional Housing Strategy, 2024. Job growth in stable industries, including healthcare, education, advanced manufacturing, bio- medical research, IT and professional and financial services, supported by the continual influx of UW students. UW-Madison attracts students from around the nation and world, some of whom settle here; UW Madison ranked 6 th in research in U.S., attracting investment in industries supported by research. Exceptional healthcare services with five major hospitals and over a dozen clinics forming a regional healthcare hub. Urban and rural amenities including walking, biking and transit infrastructure; cultural institutions; an attractive natural setting; and world-class agriculture. GROWTH FACTORS Page 2 of 5 DANE COUNTY POPULATION – ACTUAL AND PROJECTED 290,272 323,545 367,085 426,526 488,073 561,504 611,149 1978 DOA: -93,140 1983 DOA: -83,027 1988 DOA: -168,514 1993 DOA: -72,989 1998 DOA: -58,530 2003 DOA: -56,301 2008 DOA: -18,232 2013 DOA: -56,049 627,215 703,535 779,265 660,000 767,000 887,000 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 900,000 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Census (Total Population) Prior DOA Projections 2024 DOA Projection Poly. (2025 RDG Projection)Projected Trend 1970 - 2050 The DOA has been releasing population projections since 1978. For each set of projections (grey dots), there is a box with the year the projection was issued and the difference between the projection and the actual or estimated population in that year. The DOA has consistently under- projected the Dane County population. The DOA issued new projections in 2024 (the blue diamonds at right). The DOA also issues current population estimates each year. The 2025 population estimate is 611,149, meaning the County has likely achieved 75% of this decade’s DOA-projected population growth by 2025. At this pace of growth, the 2030 population will exceed the DOA projection and be approximately 660,000, as projected by the Regional Data Group. Page 3 of 5 MUNICIPAL PROJECTIONS The Regional Data Group prepared local population projections compatible with a county-wide total of 887,000 – see the tables on the following pages. 1. County Growth Rate VS Municipal Growth Rates: The County's population projection reflects a growth rate of 16.5% per decade. Though many of the municipal projections reflect a similar exponential growth trend, some do not. 2. Rounding: 2050 Projection values are rounded upward to the nearest multiple of 5, 50, 100, 500, or 1,000 depending on community type and size. This is meant to convey some of the uncertainty inherent in population projections. 3. City and Village Projections: The Capital Area Regional Planning Commission modeled municipal population growth as part of the Regional Development Framework (RDF), adopted in 2022. That model looked at each community, their active development, planned development, and the location and development patterns illustrated in the Framework's growth scenario. That same model was initially applied in the current process to allocate the 2020-2050 population growth - each community was assigned the same percentage of growth, applied now to a larger projected county-wide population control total. Those "percent-of-growth" projections were then compared to other methods of projecting growth at the local level, including: • A linear projection, • A second-order polynomial projection, • The recent Department of Administration (DOA) population projections, and • A "percent-of-total" allocation based on the RDF model. The RDG selected for each jurisdiction the trendline that best corresponded to an understanding of the community's circumstances. In cases where communities are landlocked and infill/redevelopment opportunities are constrained the 2050 projection was reduced from the initial “percent of growth” projection. The 2050 projection was increased in cases where housing production levels have recently been strong and there is room to grow with good regional transportation access. 4. Town Projections: Population projections for Dane County towns reflect DOA projections rounded up to the next multiple of five. The RDG anticipates some additional growth in unincorporated areas by 2050 but is unable to predict where that growth will occur. The "Unallocated Town Growth,” 5,080 additional residents by 2050, is added to the total for all towns but is not assigned to any specific jurisdictions. 5. Town Dissolutions: The Town of Madison was dissolved in 2022 and its territory and population distributed to the Cities of Madison and Fitchburg by intergovernmental agreement. The Town of Blooming Grove is scheduled to be dissolved in 2027 by intergovernmental agreement and its territory and population absorbed by the City of Madison. The Town of Burke is scheduled to be dissolved in 2036 by intergovernmental agreement and its territory and population absorbed by the City of Madison, City of Sun Prairie, a nd Village of DeForest. The population projections for each of the receiving municipalities incorporate these jurisdictional changes. TRENDS TO WATCH The Regional Data Group will continue to monitor trends and conditions, offering updated local projections every 5 years. Things to watch: Climate migration within the U.S. is anticipated but hard to predict. Wisconsin has been shown to be a relatively safe and affordable place to live, less vulnerable to extreme weather and risks to life and property from wildfires, hurricanes, extreme drought, etc. Will this drive growth here? Household size has been falling for various reasons, including economic instability and uncertainty for young adults , and a large population of older adults (baby boomers). Will household size rebound or continue to shrink, and how will this affect housing demand and population? National economic conditions affect growth and birth rates in a variety of ways. Will interest rates fall again? Will young adults pursue home ownership or feel more confident about having children? Global economic, political and climate conditions could affect all of the above, including immigration pressures and policies and the cost of construction materials. These projections support the planning and preparation necessary to maintain community stability and the quality-of-life features Dane County residents desire: • Adequate, safe, and affordable housing options • Safe and reliable transportation options • Green spaces for recreation and habitat protection • Clean water • Proximity to rural areas • Sustainable farming and local food production DESIRED OUTCOMES Page 4 of 5 Community 2000 (Census) 2010 (Census) 2020 (Census) 2030 (RDG) 2040 (RDG) 2050 (RDG) 2050 (DOA) Dane County 426,526 488,073 561,504 660,070 767,000 887,000 779,265 Fitchburg 20,501 25,260 29,609 37,430 44,530 52,500 52,245 Madison 208,054 233,209 269,840 324,580 378,520 437,000 371,138 Maple Bluff 1,358 1,313 1,368 1,480 1,610 1,750 1,648 McFarland 6,416 7,808 8,991 11,410 14,050 17,000 13,713 Middleton 15,770 17,442 21,827 26,420 31,410 37,000 35,295 Monona 8,018 7,533 8,624 9,190 9,810 10,500 10,240 Shorewood Hills 1,732 1,565 2,169 2,340 2,540 2,750 2,557 Central 261,849 294,130 342,428 412,850 482,470 558,500 486,836 Cottage Grove 4,059 6,192 7,303 11,150 15,320 20,000 19,833 DeForest 7,368 8,936 10,811 12,820 15,050 17,500 17,442 Sun Prairie 20,369 29,364 35,967 44,270 54,850 65,000 55,644 Verona 7,052 10,619 14,030 18,860 24,110 30,000 26,194 Waunakee 8,995 12,097 14,879 18,400 22,220 26,500 24,833 Windsori 5,286 6,345 8,754 11,550 14,590 18,000 16,983 First Ring 53,129 73,553 91,744 117,050 146,140 177,000 160,929 Belleville* 1,795 1,848 1,909 2,240 2,600 3,000 3,356 Black Earth 1,320 1,338 1,493 1,650 1,810 2,000 1,942 Blue Mounds 708 855 948 1,120 1,300 1,500 966 Brooklyn* 502 936 1,026 1,320 1,640 2,000 1,183 Cambridge* 1,014 1,348 1,539 1,980 2,460 3,000 2,092 Cross Plains 3,084 3,538 4,104 4,830 5,620 6,500 4,699 Dane 799 995 1,117 1,380 1,670 2,000 1,173 Deerfield 1,971 2,319 2,507 2,960 3,450 4,000 2,903 Edgerton* 42 97 146 180 210 250 196 Marshall 3,432 3,862 3,787 4,310 4,870 5,500 4,122 Mazomanie 1,485 1,652 1,768 1,990 2,230 2,500 1,964 Mount Horeb 5,860 7,009 7,754 9,040 10,430 12,000 8,934 Oregon 7,514 9,231 11,179 13,090 15,170 17,500 17,235 Rockdale 214 214 207 220 230 250 179 Stoughton 12,354 12,611 13,173 15,090 17,170 19,500 12,870 Outlying 42,094 47,853 52,657 61,400 70,860 81,500 63,814 2050 Towns 57,691 61,159 63,552 63,865 64,320 64,920 64,859 1,470 3,210 5,080 All Towns 69,454 72,537 74,675 68,770 67,530 70,000 67,686 Dane County City & Village Population Projections (August 2025) Unallocated Town Growth * - Dane County portion only. i - Windsor is excluded from the "Towns" total for Census years 1980 - 2010 to reflect its incorporation as a village. Page 5 of 5 Community 2000 (Census) 2010 (Census) 2020 (Census) 2030 (RDG) 2040 (RDG) 2050 (RDG) 2050 (DOA) Albion 1,823 1,951 2,069 2,035 2,005 1,975 1,975 Berry 1,084 1,127 1,168 1,175 1,185 1,190 1,188 Black Earth 449 483 510 525 540 555 554 Blue Mounds 842 968 899 855 810 770 767 Blooming Grove 1,768 1,815 1,622 - - Bristol 2,698 3,765 4,447 4,655 4,870 5,100 5,096 Burke 2,990 3,284 3,265 3,365 - 2,827 Christiana 1,313 1,235 1,235 1,195 1,160 1,125 1,125 Cottage Grove 3,839 3,875 3,791 3,735 3,685 3,630 3,628 Cross Plains 1,419 1,507 1,494 1,470 1,445 1,420 1,420 Dane 968 990 934 890 845 805 802 Deerfield 1,470 1,585 1,684 1,670 1,660 1,645 1,645 Dunkirk 2,053 1,945 1,881 1,755 1,640 1,530 1,526 Dunn 5,270 4,931 4,880 4,630 4,390 4,165 4,165 Madison 7,005 6,279 6,236 - - Mazomanie 1,185 1,090 1,074 1,070 1,065 1,060 1,056 Medina 1,235 1,376 1,344 1,305 1,265 1,230 1,228 Middleton 4,594 5,877 6,792 7,405 8,075 8,805 8,805 Montrose 1,134 1,081 1,064 1,015 965 920 916 Oregon 3,148 3,184 3,125 3,020 2,915 2,815 2,813 Perry 670 729 737 725 710 695 695 Pleasant Springs 3,053 3,154 3,078 3,005 2,940 2,870 2,868 Primrose 682 731 750 760 765 775 774 Roxbury 1,700 1,794 1,871 1,815 1,765 1,715 1,715 Rutland 1,887 1,966 1,977 1,940 1,910 1,875 1,871 Springdale 1,530 1,904 2,056 2,125 2,200 2,275 2,271 Springfield 2,762 2,734 2,929 2,915 2,895 2,880 2,878 Sun Prairie 2,308 2,326 2,391 2,320 2,255 2,190 2,186 Vermont 839 819 871 920 970 1,025 1,022 Verona 2,153 1,948 1,947 2,035 2,125 2,220 2,218 Vienna 1,294 1,482 1,666 1,705 1,740 1,780 1,777 Westport 3,586 3,950 4,191 4,500 4,835 5,190 5,189 York 703 652 697 695 690 690 686 2050 Towns 57,691 61,159 63,552 63,865 64,320 64,920 64,859 1,540 3,210 5,080 All Towns 69,454 72,537 74,675 68,770 67,530 70,000 67,686 Unallocated Town Growth 2020 through 2050 Dane County Town Population Projections (August 2025)